Correlation Between Low Housing Supply and Purchase Loan Size

By Housing

Despite the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) tracked 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage rate moving further downward, by one basis point from the previous week to a new record low of 3.29%, mortgage activity slowed, per the latest Weekly Application Survey. The Market Composite Index, representing purchasing and refinancing activities, decreased by 1.8% on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier, with the Purchasing and Refinancing Indexes individually declining by 1.3% and 2.2%, respectively. The MBA cites the resurgence of COVID-19 cases among a plurality of states as a key contributor to the slowdown, with investors gauging its effects on the labor market.

After two months of strong growth, purchase applications declined for the second week in a row. The weakening in activity is potentially a signal that pent-up demand is starting to wane and that low housing supply is limiting prospective buyers’ options. The MBA also noted that tight inventory may have been a cause of quick price growth in home purchasing, as the average purchase application loan size reached a record high in its survey.

On an unadjusted basis, the Refinance Index decreased 2 percent from the previous week and was 74 percent higher than the same week one year ago.

NAHB and Michigan Builders File Suit to Expand PPP Eligibility

By Industry News

With so many builders unfairly unable to obtain a forgivable loan under the Paycheck Protection Program (PPP), NAHB, along with the HBA of Michigan and HBA of Southeastern Michigan, are moving aggressively to seek a legal remedy.

The three organizations today filed a lawsuit against the U.S. Department of Treasury and the U.S. Small Business Administration, challenging their decision to apply onerous regulations onto PPP that prevent certain builders and developers from accessing this much-needed source of funding and having those loans forgiven.

While Congress was clear in its intent to offer PPP protection to a wide range of the U.S. economy, Treasury and SBA nonetheless applied pre-existing regulations that essentially shut out a broad swath of the residential construction industry.

Specifically, SBA imposed a pre-existing regulation and guidance document that limited eligibility for certain businesses, including “passive businesses owned by developers and landlords that do not actively use or occupy the assets acquired or improved with the loan proceeds,” and “speculative businesses” that include “building homes for future sale.”

This clearly goes against congressional intent. When Congress passed the Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security Act (CARES Act), the legislation expressly expanded the eligibility of the program to “any business concern.”

SBA Actions Hurt Builders

NAHB members across the nation have been prevented from seeking PPP funds because of SBA’s regulations. Those members who did receive funds faced widely inconsistent experiences. Moreover, those members who have received PPP loans may find it difficult to have those loans forgiven.

SBA’s unfair and unlawful bait-and-switch towards the residential housing industry has been compounded by inconsistent implementation of the agency’s eligibility rules. While some lenders noted SBA’s eligibility rules and declined to issue loans to excluded businesses, other lenders did not enforce these rules and extended loans to businesses deemed ineligible by SBA. These small businesses – including many home builders – applied for these loans in good faith and now fear their loans will not be forgiven because they may have been ineligible under SBA rules.

As the lawsuit notes: “These small businesses, and many others, applied for and received PPP loans under the good-faith belief they were eligible for loan forgiveness. They have since learned that, despite receiving loans and using the proceeds to keep their employees off unemployment, they are unlikely to receive loan forgiveness because, under the Exclusion Rule, they might not have been ‘eligible’ for the loans in the first instance.”

Home building is not the only industry that has been impacted by Treasury and SBA’s application of its eligibility rules. Some of these industries have filed lawsuits as well, and in one case, the court clearly held that the rules should not apply. Despite this court’s ruling, it appears that SBA, as well as the U.S. Treasury Department, will not relent without direct pressure.

This is why NAHB joined with the HBA of Michigan and the HBA of Southeastern Michigan to file their own lawsuit in the Eastern District of Michigan to seek a similar ruling for our members.

For more information, contact Amy Chai at NAHB at 1-800-368-5242 x8232.

Annual Home Price Gains Remain Strong in April

By Housing

Home price appreciation continued in April despite the economic slowdown and the recent declines in existing home sales due to the COVID-19 pandemic.

The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index, reported by S&P Dow Jones Indices, rose at a seasonally adjusted annual growth rate of 5.8% in April, after a revised 6.9% increase in March. On a year-over-year basis, the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price NSA Index posted a 4.7% annual gain in April, up from 4.6% in March. It marked the highest annual growth rate since November 2018. Although the economy experienced a slowdown and existing home sales dropped to the slowest pace in a decade in April, home prices remained stable at national level amid the COVID-19 pandemic.

Meanwhile, the Home Price Index, released by the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA), rose at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 2.1% in April, following a 1.8% increase in March. On a year-over-year basis, the FHFA Home Price NSA Index rose by 5.5% in April, after an increase of 5.9% in March.

Consumer Confidence Increases in June

By Housing

After a sharp decline in April, consumer confidence improved in June for a second straight month, as the economy began to reopen and unemployment claims showed improvement.

The Consumer Confidence Index, reported by the Conference Board, rose 12.2 points from 85.9 to 98.1 in June, the largest monthly gain since November 2011. The Present Situation Index jumped 17.8 points from 68.4 to 86.2, and the Expectation Situation Index increased 8.4 points from 97.6 to 106, almost back to February level.

Consumers’ assessment of current business conditions improved in June. The shares of respondents rating business conditions “good” remained slightly rose by 1.0 percentage point at 17.4%, while those claiming business conditions “bad” fell by 8.0 percentage points to 43.2%. Meanwhile, consumers’ assessment of the labor market was also favorable. The share of respondents reporting that jobs were “plentiful” increased by 4.3 percentage points, while those saw jobs as “hard to get” decreased by 5.4 percentage points.

Consumers were less pessimistic about the short-term outlook. The share of respondents expecting business conditions to improve remained virtually unchanged at 42.6%, while those expecting business conditions to deteriorate fell from 20.5% to 15.3%. However, expectations of employment over the next six months were mixed. The share of respondents expecting “more jobs” slightly fell by 1.1 percentage points to 38.4%, while those anticipating “fewer jobs” declined by 5.7 percentage points to 14.2%.

Despite the overall improvement, consumer confidence still remained below pre-pandemic levels and the Present Situation Index suggested that economic conditions remained weak. Looking near-term, consumers are less pessimistic but not expecting a significant pickup in economy activity.

The Conference Board also reported the share of respondents planning to buy a home within six months. The share of respondents planning to buy a home rose to 6.5% in June. The share of respondents planning to buy a newly constructed home jumped to 1.7%, and for those who planning to buy an existing home marginally increased to 3.3%.

IRS Not Extending July 15 Tax Deadline

By Industry News

The Department of Treasury and IRS has announced the July 15 tax-filing and payment deadline will not be extended a second time due to the coronavirus pandemic. The IRS originally extended the April 15 deadline as a result of the pandemic. However, individuals taxpayers unable to meet the July 15 due date can request an automatic extension of time to file until Oct. 15.

To obtain the automatic extension to Oct. 15, taxpayers filing Form 1040 series returns must file Form 49868 by July 15. The extension provides additional time to file the tax return — it is not an extension to pay any taxes due.

View the IRS news release.