Building Materials Prices Fall for Second Month Straight

By Housing
According to the latest Producer Price Index report, the prices of inputs to residential construction less energy (i.e., building materials) decreased 0.1% in May 2023 (not seasonally adjusted), following a 0.2% drop in April. The index has gained 0.3%, year-to-date, a stark contrast from the 10.2% and 4.9% YTD increases seen in 2021 and 2022, respectively.  The PPI for goods… Read More ›

A Hawkish Pause: Landing Flare for the Fed?

By Housing
The Federal Reserve’s monetary policy committee maintained the federal funds rate at a top target rate of 5.25% at the conclusion of its June meeting. The Fed will also continue to reduce its balance sheet holdings of Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities. Despite the June pause, the Fed’s projections indicated perhaps two more rate hikes are in store in the coming… Read More ›

Mortgage Activity Increases as Affordability Improves

By Housing
Per the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) survey through the week ending June 9th, total mortgage activity increased 7.2% from the previous week and the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) rate fell five basis points to 6.77%. The FRM rate has risen 20 basis points over the past month. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, rose… Read More ›

Inflation Slows to Lowest Level since March 2021

By Housing
Consumer prices in May saw the smallest year-over-year gain since March 2021, mainly driven by lower energy prices. This marked the eleventh consecutive month of deceleration. While this measure aligned with expectations, core inflation remained persistent due to the increase in rent prices. The shelter index (housing inflation) continued to be the largest contributor to both headline and core inflation,… Read More ›

Households’ Real Estate Asset Value Falls for Third Consecutive Quarter

By Housing
The first quarter of 2023 release of the Z.1 Financial Accounts of the United States shows for a third consecutive quarter the value of households’ real estate assets contracted. The combination of economic uncertainty and declining home prices has played a role over the past year in decreasing the value of households’ real estate assets. The level of households’ real… Read More ›

Revolving Consumer Credit Growth Remains Near 25-Year High

By Housing
Consumer credit outstanding grew at a seasonal adjusted annual rate of 5.7% in April 2023 per the Federal Reserve’s latest G.19 Consumer Credit report, as revolving and nonrevolving debt grew at 13.1% and 3.2%, respectively (SAAR). Total consumer credit outstanding stands at $4.8 trillion (not seasonally adjusted), with $1.2 trillion in revolving debt and $3.6 trillion in non-revolving debt (NSA). The… Read More ›