Economic Growth Weakens in the First Quarter

By Housing
In the first quarter of 2023, economic growth slowed to an annual rate of 1.1%, amid rising interest rates and an ongoing banking crisis. This quarter’s growth was dragged down by decreases in private inventory investment and residential fixed investment. Private inventory investment subtracted 2.26 percentage points off the headline growth rate for overall GDP, while residential fixed investment took… Read More ›

Housing Availability Expectations See Mild Improvement

By Housing
After souring significantly in the final quarter of 2022, buyers’ expectations of housing availability edged up slightly in the first quarter of 2023, with 26% expecting the home search to get easier in the months ahead, just ahead of the 24% a quarter earlier.  Despite the mild improvement, buyers’ perceptions of housing availability remain well below their level in the… Read More ›

Lower Rates Spark Housing Demand

By Housing
The retreat in mortgage interest rates during the first quarter of 2023 (from the 20-year peak reached in the fall of 2022) led a record share of adults in the US – 18 percent – to declare having plans to buy a home within a year – the largest share since the inception of this series in 2018.  The finding… Read More ›

Lack of Existing Inventory Continues to Support Builder Sentiment

By Housing
Builders remained cautiously optimistic in April as limited resale inventory helped to increase demand in the new home market even as the industry continues to grapple with building material issues. Builder confidence in the market for newly built single-family homes in April rose one point to 45, according to the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB)/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index… Read More ›

Steep Year-over-Year Decline for Single-Family Permits in February 2023

By Housing
Over the first two months of 2023, the total number of single-family permits issued year-to-date (YTD) nationwide reached 112,131. On a year-over-year (YoY) basis, this is 34.3% below the February 2022 level of 170,716. Year-to-date ending in February, single-family permits declined in all four regions. The Northeast posted a decline of 23.6%, while the West region reported the steepest decline… Read More ›

Building Materials Prices Climb as Concrete, Transformer Shortages Persist

By Housing
According to the latest Producer Price Index report, the prices of inputs to residential construction less energy (i.e., building materials) climbed 0.3% in March 2023 (not seasonally adjusted). Since declining the last four months of 2022, the index has increased three consecutive months by a total of 1.6% but has been relatively stable over the past year. The prices of goods… Read More ›